Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.001824 0.001936 0.002051 0.002180 0.002319 0.002466 0.002632
2025-04-13 0.001629 0.001783 0.001949 0.002141 0.002358 0.002597 0.002880
2025-04-20 0.001464 0.001639 0.001832 0.002063 0.002333 0.002640 0.003019
2025-04-27 0.001392 0.001588 0.001810 0.002084 0.002412 0.002799 0.003291
2025-05-04 0.001348 0.001563 0.001814 0.002128 0.002517 0.002988 0.003607
2025-05-11 0.001320 0.001555 0.001833 0.002191 0.002643 0.003206 0.003969
2025-05-18 0.001276 0.001522 0.001819 0.002208 0.002712 0.003352 0.004244
2025-05-25 0.001209 0.001458 0.001762 0.002167 0.002700 0.003392 0.004378
2025-06-01 0.001158 0.001411 0.001723 0.002146 0.002712 0.003460 0.004551
2025-06-08 0.001128 0.001388 0.001714 0.002161 0.002770 0.003592 0.004820
2025-06-15 0.001085 0.001347 0.001679 0.002140 0.002778 0.003654 0.004990
2025-06-22 0.001049 0.001313 0.001650 0.002126 0.002794 0.003726 0.005177
2025-06-29 0.001003 0.001266 0.001607 0.002094 0.002790 0.003779 0.005353
2025-07-06 0.000958 0.001219 0.001563 0.002058 0.002778 0.003820 0.005515
2025-07-13 0.000903 0.001156 0.001493 0.001984 0.002707 0.003768 0.005527
2025-07-20 0.000884 0.001143 0.001490 0.002004 0.002774 0.003927 0.005887
2025-07-27 0.000874 0.001140 0.001502 0.002047 0.002876 0.004146 0.006364
2025-08-03 0.000870 0.001146 0.001526 0.002106 0.003006 0.004416 0.006951
2025-08-10 0.000853 0.001132 0.001521 0.002123 0.003071 0.004585 0.007373
2025-08-17 0.000821 0.001095 0.001481 0.002084 0.003044 0.004600 0.007521
2025-08-24 0.000795 0.001068 0.001454 0.002063 0.003046 0.004664 0.007760
2025-08-31 0.000781 0.001057 0.001450 0.002078 0.003105 0.004826 0.008200
2025-09-07 0.000759 0.001032 0.001425 0.002058 0.003106 0.004888 0.008449